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--- items:forecasting [2024/11/04 12:52] – Gary Willetts
+++ items:forecasting [2024/11/04 13:11] (current) – [Where does mSupply use forecasts?] Gary Willetts
@@ Line 9: / Line 9: @@
 mSupply has a few tools to help you with this. For a full description of them, please see the details of the various places where forecasting is used in mSupply:
-  * [[tender_management:introduction#creating_a_new_tender|Creating a new tender]]
+  * [[purchasing:ordering_from_suppliers#creating_a_new_calculated_purchase_order|6.01. Ordering stock from suppliers]] - when creating a new auto-generated purchase order. This page contains a discussion of the various calculation stages that go into working out the amount to order.
-  * [[reports:purchasing#suggested_order_quantities|The suggested order report]]
+  * [[reports:purchasing#suggested_order_quantities|13.04. Purchasing reports]] - when creating a Suggested order report. This page discusses the details of the options for calculating an item's AMC (Average Monthly Consumption).
-  * [[purchasing:ordering_from_suppliers#creating_a_new_calculated_purchase_order|Creating a new purchase order]]
+  * [[tender_management:introduction#new_generated_tender_auto-generation|18.01. Introduction to tender management]] - when creating a new auto-generated tender. This page refers to the two pages above for detail.
+Normally, mSupply is set to use the assumption that future consumption will continue at the same level as consumption over a given historic period. Our experience is that in almost all situations, this method, combined with a conservative provision for buffer stock, yields very good to excellent results. However, in certain situations you will want to provide your own forecasts. Reasons for this could include factors such as:
-MORE INFORMATION COMING ON THIS PAGE SOON.
-By default, mSupply uses the assumption that future consumption will continue at the same level as consumption over a given historic period.   Our experience is that in almost all situations, this method, combined with a conservative provision for buffer stock, yields very good to excellent results.  However, in certain situations you will want to provide your own forecasts. Reasons for this could include factors such as:
   * Excessive, sudden population increase
   * An epidemic causing increased demand
@@ Line 27: / Line 21: @@
   * Morbidity and mortality data has been obtained and used to calculate requirements.
+When these situations arise then you can fine-tune how mSupply calculates the AMC for each item individually. For details on this functionality, see the [[items:item_basics:tab_usage]] page.
-===== Where does mSupply use forecasts? =====
-Any time mSupply produces a suggested order quantity, it will consider each item and use the forecast options for that item to produce a forecast. This includes:
 \\